Tuesday, March 26, 2024
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Patrick McCann, CFA, Research Analyst, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Q4 results. For Q4 the company reported $148.4 million in revenue, below our forecast of $157.0 million and roughly flat compared to the prior year period. Adj. EBITDA for the quarter was $9.0 million, which was in line with our estimate. The softer than expected revenue was largely driven by the company’s redeployment of kiosks. Notably, we believe the company’s favorable redeployment efforts could improve operating results in the long-run.
Expansion strategy. Management highlighted franchising as a favorable option for expansion. Notably, franchising offers the company a less capital intensive method for expansion, which captures approximately 30%-50% of profits from licensed kiosks. Additionally, management views New York as a significant opportunity for growth, and is currently in the application process to obtain a license to operate in the state.
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