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GDEV Inc (GDEV) – Nearly Doubles Street Expectations

Media and Marketing
0 min read


Friday, November 15, 2024

Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.

Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.

Over delivered on Q3 results. Total company revenue was $110.7 million, beating our $103.0 million estimate. With costs in line with expectations, the revenue upside flowed to adj. EBITDA, which substantially exceeded our expectations, of $16.9 million versus our estimate of $4.9 million, as illustrated in Figure #1 Q3 Results. We believe that the results beat Street estimates, with consensus adj. EBITDA of $8.5 million.

Upside variance. The company is seeking ways to make efficient use of its marketing spend, particularly in areas that provide sufficient returns. Sales & Marketing expenses of $52.0 million were lower than our $53.0 million estimate in spite of better than expected revenues. We anticipate Sales & Marketing expenses to accelerate in coming quarters as the company hones in on its marketing strategy and expands into new territories. 


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*Analyst certification and important disclosures included in the full report. NOTE: investment decisions should not be based upon the content of this research summary. Proper due diligence is required before making any investment decision. 

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