Thursday, January 30, 2025
Mark Reichman, Managing Director, Equity Research Analyst, Natural Resources, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Hans Baldau, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Outlook for 2025. Hemisphere Energy expects 2025 capital expenditures of approximately C$17 million which are expected to support ~15% growth in annual average production to 3,900 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) compared to 2024. Expenditures will be funded entirely from adjusted funds flow. Most of the capital will be allocated to drilling, optimization, and facility work, with approximately 10% allotted to exploration and land acquisition. Most planned expenditures are scheduled for the third quarter of 2025, providing the company with the flexibility to adjust plans based on changes in commodity prices.
Updating estimates. We have increased our 2024 adjusted funds flow (AFF) and EPS estimates to C$45.4 million and $0.32, respectively, from C$43.5 million and $0.31 to reflect modestly higher operating earnings. AFF and EPS in the fourth quarter are estimated to be C$10.0 million and $0.06, respectively. We have also increased our 2025 AFF and EPS estimates to C$50.6 million and $0.37, respectively, from C$38.0 million and $0.27 to reflect higher average annual production of 3,900 boe/d compared to our prior estimate of 3,625 boe/d. Additionally, we increased our WTI crude oil price assumption to US$72.00 per barrel versus our prior estimate of US$70.00.
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