Thursday, September 26, 2024
Snail is a leading, global independent developer and publisher of interactive digital entertainment for consumers around the world, with a premier portfolio of premium games designed for use on a variety of platforms, including consoles, PCs and mobile devices.
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research, Equity Research Analyst, Digital, Media & Technology , Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Jacob Mutchler, Research Associate, Noble Capital Markets, Inc.
Refer to the full report for the price target, fundamental analysis, and rating.
Stock slips below $1. The SNAL shares are down roughly 40% YTD. We believe this slide is an over reaction to the company’s “miss” in first half earnings, which was largely related to deferred revenue. The company has a favorable long term fundamental outlook and is financially healthy, with a sizable cash position and positive cash flow generation.
Fundamentals do NOT appear broken. We expect company fundamentals to improve over the next eighteen months. In 2024, revenue and adjusted EBITDA are expected to increase to $88.7 million and $12.3 million, respectively, up from $60.9 million and negative $9.7 million in 2023. In 2025, we anticipate revenue and adjusted EBITDA to reach $105.0 million and $24.5 million. This growth is backed by a number of exciting developments, including the rollout of more Down Loadable Content (DLC) packages for Ark: Survival Ascended, which should help alleviate noise surrounding deferred revenue.
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