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The Reasons for Warren Buffett’s Increased Oil and Gas Appetite

Energy
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Berkshire Hathaway Finds ESG Concerns Are a Plus for Oil and Gas Investments

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is capitalizing on the current commodity price dip to expand its oil and gas sector stake. This year, Berkshire committed $3.3 billion to increase its ownership in a liquefied natural gas export terminal in Maryland. Additionally, it raised its stake in Occidental Petroleum Corp. by 15% and acquired more shares in five Japanese commodity traders. The company is also lobbying for increased financial support for natural gas power plants.

Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha, demonstrated how he earned the “oracle” title during the most uncertain days of the pandemic, by investing heavily in oil and gas. The sector has had impressive returns as it posted record earnings in 2022. The 92-year-old Buffett is not booking the massive gains by selling; instead Buffett is selectively adding to positions.

Are Buffett’s investment moves classic bargain-hunting, with the energy sector possibly undervalued tied to environmental, social, and governance concerns, as well as an anticipation of declining demand for fossil fuels in the future? Based on standard metrics, the energy sector is undervalued. According to data from Bloomberg, energy now trades at the lowest price-to-earnings valuation among all sectors in the S&P 500 Index, at the same time it generates the most cash flow per share. And, as a help to the industry,  Berkshire’s energy division is actively lobbying for a bill that would allocate at least $10 billion to natural gas-fired power plants in Texas to support the state’s grid.

His approach in the sector is obviously deliberate and narrowly targeted. Despite Buffett’s interest in energy, his fossil fuel investments aren’t without nuances. For example, Berkshire remains the third-largest shareholder in Chevron Corp., even after it reduced its stake by about 21% in the first quarter. Each investment in companies like Occidental and Cove Point LNG has unique aspects that position them as valuable assets in the global energy landscape, regardless of the path that any U.S. or global energy transition takes.

Buffett believes that shale, a substantial part of U.S. oil production, is different and even preferred over conventional sources of oil in the Middle East and Russia. One difference is taking shale from the ground and into production can be done more quickly and have a shorter production lifespan. This provides flexibility for operators to adapt to changes in oil demand and prices. At Berkshire’s annual meeting in May, Buffett emphasized making rational decisions about energy production and criticized both extremes in the climate debate.

One of Buffett’s nuanced and targeted energy investments is Cove Point LNG. It not only exports liquefied gas but also has the rare capability to import gas, making it more versatile than other facilities along the Gulf Coast. With rising global LNG demand driven by Europe’s shift away from Russian gas and Asia’s use of gas for power generation, Cove Point’s long-term contracts with buyers, including Tokyo Gas Co. and Sumitomo Corp., make it appealing. Berkshire is Sumitomo’s second-largest shareholder after the Japanese government’s pension fund.

Outside of its stock holdings, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, under the leadership of Buffett’s expected successor Greg Abel, has been performing well. Earnings for the division hit a record high of $3.9 billion in 2022, nearly doubling over five years.

Take Away

The world’s appetite for energy, whether from fossil fuels or renewables, seems insatiable; even amid a global penchant to reduce fossil fuel use, oil demand is expected to continue rising throughout the decade. While environmental concerns have caused some investors to shy away from the energy sector, Buffett’s investments demonstrate his belief that ESG considerations are keeping oil and gas stocks attractively priced. Market participants prioritizing ESG, therefore, presents an opportunity for Berkshire to profit further from its strategic investments in the oil and gas sector.

Paul Hoffman

Managing Editor, Channelchek

Sources

https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/berkshire-hathaway-warren-buffett-annual-shareholder-meeting

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-25/buffett-lifts-fossil-fuel-bets-as-global-esg-push-mints-bargains

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